The Texans hold their own against teams like the Titans, which, this year at least, belong in the 'bad team' category. Then, you have the teams in the 'good team' category, like Denver and Indianapolis.
The only way I see the Texans even being in the game . . . is if the Jets come out flat and are looking ahead. If not, I'm looking at a repeat of the Denver game.
The key is will Carr get time to throw, and will Davis be able to run the football. So far this season, the offensive line has not done well at all against the better defensive teams. And the Jets have a better defensive team.
Just looking at the picture without any rose colored glasses.