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Old 11-23-2004   #7
beerlover
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As of week 11 here is the draft order courtesy of the huddle report-

PICK TEAM WINS OPP%
1 49ERS 1 0.481
2 DOLPHINS 1 0.563
3 REDSKINS 3 0.513
4 PANTHERS 3 0.519
5 COWBOYS 3 0.544
RAIDERS 3 0.544
7 CHIEFS 3 0.563
8 BROWNS 3 0.575
9 CARDINALS 4 0.456
BUCCANEERS 4 0.456
11 SAINTS 4 0.469
12 BEARS 4 0.488
13 TITANS 4 0.494
14 BILLS 4 0.513
15 TEXANS 4 0.525
16 LIONS 4 0.531
17 BENGALS 4 0.563
18 RAMS 5 0.481
19 GIANTS 5 0.531
20 SEAHAWKS 6 0.431
21 PACKERS 6 0.481
22 VIKINGS 6 0.494
23 JAGUARS 6 0.519
24 BRONCOS 7 0.444
25 CHARGERS 7 0.475
26 JETS 7 0.488
27 RAVENS 7 0.519
28 COLTS 7 0.525
29 FALCONS 8 0.419
30 EAGLES 9 0.456
31 PATRIOTS 9 0.463
32 STEELERS 9 0.488

The Texans still face the Titans, Jets, Colts, Bears, Jags & Browns. Only the Browns, Bears & Titans have lesser records, two of which are at home. So at a minimum two more wins or 6-10. Flip a coin if you think the Texans can win a couple more, anything is possible in the NFL but generally the 15th spot is a pretty good guess, the Rams & Giants being teams that could slip and Bills, & Bucs could all move higher, but only marginally.

So with the 15th pick the Texans are going to have to decide between Marcus Spears, DT LSU/ Ahmad Brooks LB Virgina/ David Pollack LB Georgia/ Thomas Davis S Georgia/

There are four outstanding corners but all may be taken by the time the Texans pick, Antrel Rolle, Miami/ Marlon Jackson, Michigan/ Justin Miller, Clemson/ Corey Webster, LSU. If we could choose it would be Antrel Rolle who is a big, aggressive cover who would compliment Dunta very nicely as Glenn still schools them both the Texans would not pass him up IF were available.

David Pollack would be my linebacker of choice, but if Ahmad Brooks comes out early he would be hard to pass up due to his playmaking skills. Pollack is almost a carbon copy of Babin, but thats not such a bad thing either.

The two top RB's should be already selected by the time the Texans pick Cedric Benson, TX/ Cadillac Williams, Auburn. But if the Texans want a big time young RB then it has to be Ronnie Brown of Auburn.

The most likey pick would be Marcus Spears a big, cat quick DT that would fit perfectly in the 3-4, moving Robaire Smith to nose tackle, bringing Seth in on passing situations, Marcus would be on the wing, then the Texans would have for the first time an effective pass rush.

Lastly for those of you who wanted to trade up for Sean Taylor, Georgia Safety Thomas Davis is the player, although we seem to have a good player coming up in rookie Glenn Earl, McCree however is a free agent after seasons end.
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