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Old 02-26-2014   #41
The Pencil Neck
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Default Re: Mike Mayock 2014 NFL Draft

Quote:
Originally Posted by eriadoc View Post
That he is no seer is absolutely true. But Mayock is arguably the most accurate guy out there, in a world of inaccuracy.
Now. With that said.

What are we trying to measure here?

Are we trying to figure out which of these Pundits is able to accurately assess how the teams are going to assess and draft? Or are we trying to figure out how accurately these Pundits assess talent?

I'd be interested to take a look at the guys Mayock/Kiper/McShay rated highly vs. those players' actual production. Because just because they don't get who's going to pick whom where correctly doesn't necessarily mean that they missed on their assessment of which guys are talented.

I was looking at WRs a few years ago and comparing where they were drafted to where they were mocked and what I found is that the "draft experts" identified the guys who were going to be drafted but they didn't identify WHERE those guys were going to be drafted... and that for the most part, the NFL teams drafted guys in more of the order that they were productive than the "experts" did. Of course, that could be because the teams drafted the guys higher and gave them more chances to be productive.
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