Originally Posted by eriadoc
What if they aren't in a position to get a great QB? What if they're in position to get an Alex Smith or Matt Schaub caliber QB at #1? What if TB, Bortles, Manziel, and whoever else end up being the next wave of Locker, Tannehill, Ponder, Gabbert, Freeman, Geno Smith, and Dalton?
Titans took Jake Locker at #8 in 2011, for example. They probably felt like he could be the QB of the future. Think they would redraft that way now? They could have taken the defensive guy at #11 that year. In 2010, the Rams took Sam Bradford #1 overall. This might be our best history lesson, actually. Bradford has been good enough that you can't really call him a bust, but was he worth the #1 pick overall? I'm sure there's someone who was taken shortly thereafter that would have helped more.
I understand the sentiment to grab the next franchise QB. I want that too. But if he isn't there, don't force it. Ending up with a bust wouldn't be the worst result. The worst result would be ending up with the guy that you're always wondering about. Is he good enough? Is it the OL? Is it the coaching? Scheme? Maybe if we get him more weapons? Blah.
Hindsight is always 20/20. You don't know how any of the players you take are going to work out, even at 1.1. So, you do the best you can then, you prepare the very best way possible and make the decision that you can be happy with at that time. And that means that if you feel the QB you want is there, you take him. Unless you feel he'll still be there later in the draft, then you do something else. And if you don't feel strongly about any of the QB's, or other players for that matter, you do something else, too.
It doesn't matter what we think about these players; it only matters what they do. And a lot of this won't be decided until after the combine. Nobody was taking Tannehill in the top 10 two years ago until the combine.