Originally Posted by Blake
The problem I have with that logic is that you had a few teams do that with Ponder, Locker, Gabbert, possibly because they thought they had a potential great QB only to strike out and miss out on players like Watt, Robert Quinn, Cameron Jordan, Pouncey, Kerrigan (All Pro Bowlers) and Wilkerson.
How many of those guys were the 1st QB taken? How often is it that the first QB taken busts? Usually, teams are taking the best QB in the draft and they hit the pick. Then other teams scramble to get the remaining QB's, reach, and a lot of guys bust.
In this draft, the Texans get to choose which QB they want. Other teams do not necessarily get this option. That improves the odds of the Texans hitting on the pick because they get their choice instead of having to wait and take whoever is still on the board.
This draft actually reminds me a lot of 2011. You had 3 guys who not everyone was sold on (Newton, Locker, Gabbert) and another guy who was borderline 1st (Ponder). Most people pegged Newton as the top QB, but didn't think he was the top player in the draft and not worthy of #1. Most everyone thought that was Von Miller, Patrick Peterson, Julio Jones, or A.J. Green.
Now Bridgewater is the guy this year that most people seem to have pegged as the top QB. Nobody will be shocked if Bridgewater goes top 5 (same with Newton). Manziel, Bortles, and Carr are ranked all over the map (same with Locker, Gabbert, and Ponder). They are better comparisons to Ponder, Locker, and Gabbert than Bridgewater is. His situation is more comparable to Newton.