Originally Posted by steelbtexan
Brees/Kaepernick/Wilson/Romo,Foles,Glennon,Brady/Geno Smith, Dalton,Schaub,Pryor were all of the starting QB's drafted outside the 1st rd. If you include Rodgers who was a very late 1st you have these tiers of QB's. None of these guys were drafted in 1st rd.
Tier 1 Franchise QB
Rodgers/Brees/Brady/Wilson, Got rings or in Wilson's case has an above avg chance to get a ring.
Romo/Schaub before injury/Foles Kaepernick, Kaepernick was just a hair away from winning a SB. If everything breaks right Romo could win a SB. 9He wont he's got the Moon syndrome.) Foles too early to tell
Tier 3 Dalton, doesn't have enough ability to be a SB winning QB. Glennon/Geno/Pryor too many flaws to ever win a SB.
1-1 picks currently playing Manning/A.Smith/Eli/Stafford/Newton/Bradford/Palmer
Top 15 1st rd picks
The 1-1 picks you would have to consider Peyton and Eli great picks franchise guys, even though Peyton should have more rings. IMHO Stafford/Newton the jury is still out on, Bradford/Palmer/Smith are good but not true fanchise QB's. (I feel Bridgewater will fall into this group.)
RG3, Jury is still out due to injury, if he can stay healthy he can be a SB winner, Ryan/Cutler/Rivers/Roethlisberger are very good and can carry their teams but probably not all of the way to a SB. Ponder/Freeman/Locker/Gabbertt=Busts.
The point of these posts are
1. You stand just as good a chance of getting Rodgers/Brady/Brees/Wilson in the 2nd or later rds. as you do of reaching and getting Palmer/Bradford and to a lesser extent Smith at 1-1.
Cutler/Flacco/Ryan/Roethlisberger and Rivers have 3 things all QB's that have the ability to become great have 1. Accuracy 2.Arm strength 3. poise The reason Locker/Freeman/Gabbert are going to be bust is they lack Poise/accuracy you can learn poise but accuracy is is god given. Ponder simply doesn't have the arm strength to be a starting QB in the NFL. The Jury is still out on Manuel
Bridgewater reminds me of Alex Smith at best and Ponder at worst. (Accurate smart guys with avg or worst arm strength.)
These 2 posts were made to point out that there's no reason to reach for a franchise QB. You are just as likely to find a franchise QB at 10 to the 3rd rd as you are at 1-1.
For this reason I pick Clowney or Barr 1-1 and if I really like QB I trade back into the 1st rd and pick Bortles/Mettenberger who have the arm strength, or Manziel who is like Wilson or Manuel or Dalton