Originally Posted by TexansFTW
Kiper's lists get wilder and crazier every week I check back on them. I love this thread and can't wait to look back at how it will look absolutely nothing like the NFL draft come May.
At this point last year people were arguing whether Smith or Barkley would be the better QB in the NFL.
There's no accounting for teams being weird with their draft picks and guys taking huge falls, especially at the Combine if their numbers don't equal up to their performance on tape. Hell their bowl games haven't even played, something that has added significant boosts to players (Jamarcus Russell comes to mind, in his bowl game against ND). And then we are going to hear about guys blowing up in the Senior Bowl, East/West Shrine game, the Combine, Pro-Days and then the absolute ridiculousness of all the speculation once the meat of the process is over (remember, the draft is moving back into May next year).
We also haven't done free agency yet which also plays a large part in who drafts what. There are a few guys who are pretty decent at final draft predictions (Rick Gosseling writes for one of the Dallas papers and was pretty good at it) as well as Mayock and some others. All of their draft boards (except for Gosseling because he basically releases just one final mock about a week before the actual draft) change over the course of the off-season.
One of the best things about Kiper, is not his analysis itself, it's his database brain which has information on even the most obscure players from nowhere montana state that the raiders happen to pick in the second round. His analysis is mediocre, and I'm not entirely unsure if it's just fed to him from whatever "sources" or "contacts" he has in the NFL scouting world.