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Old 12-17-2013   #12
CharloTex
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Default Re: The 2014 NFL draft order

I've done the math and here's how the planets would need to align for us to drop all the way to the 7th pick:

The Texans must win both remaining games, finishing at 4-12.

The Jags, Falcons, Raiders, Browns, and Bucs must lose both remaining games, all staying at 4-12. Washington must lose one more game, finishing no better than 4-12.

And in addition to ALL of the above happening, for a 6th/7th place coin flip w/ the Bucs, ALL 7 of the following 7 must happen [edit: Jets lose to Browns removed from list of 8 possible events]:

Week 16: [edit: not included in possible 7, as noted ...]
Jets lose to Browns [edit correction: this would defeat the above conditions - the Jets can't lose to the Browns because the Browns would then become a 5-game winner, leaving only 6 (not 7) remaining 4-12 or worse teams.]

Week 16
1. Eagles lose at home to Bears
2. Lions lose at home to Giants
3. Ravens at home beat Patriots

Week 17:
4. Eagles lose at Cowboys
5. Lions lose at Vikings
6. Bills lose at Patriots
7. Ravens on the road beat Bengals

Then we would need to lose the coin flip to be the 7th pick. If we won the coin flip, we'd be the 6th. In other "Houston wins out" scenarios, I'm sure we could finish 1st - 6th. But in all likelihood, we lose against the Broncos on Sunday and will be assured of either 1st or 2nd.

Last edited by CharloTex; 12-17-2013 at 05:50 PM.
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