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Old 11-13-2013   #323
Corrosion
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Default Re: Where to spend the 2014 1st round pick?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolf6151 View Post
The reason Richardson is worth more than Foster is that he's younger, healthier, and alot less mileage. Plus the Colts over paid. I think the best you'd get for Foster would be a 4th and that's not even likely. Foster is having spinal surgery, has lots of mileage with diminishing returns, and is already old for a RB.
Isn't Richardson still on a rookie scale contract ?! Contracts have a huge impact on player trade value , especially bonus money that is accelerated.

Foster's deal 5 years 43.5m total , 12.5 signing bonus 20.75 guaranteed.

Richardson 4 years 20.489m total 13.341m signing bonus 20.489m guaranteed.


The difference here is that the Browns ate any funds from that 13.341m signing bonus that hadn't been paid and the Dolts get him for 1.32m this season , 2.52m in 2014 and 3.18m in 2015.

Foster's cap hit is between 8.25m and 9.5m for this season and three more after it.


Richardson's value is inflated by the fact that Cleveland was able to eat the cap hit passing that value on to Indy and being compensated a #1 pick for it.

If the Texans were to eat Foster's bonus money the team he goes to is still on the hook for ~6.25m - 7m per year.

Compare that to what Indy is paying Richardson now .... roughly 25-45% over the life of the deal.
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