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Old 08-14-2013   #64
thunderkyss 
& so it begins
 
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Default Re: Who wins division?

Quote:
Originally Posted by NastyNate View Post

http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/...-worthy-record
Quote:
It's true that teams who greatly outstrip their Pythagorean expectation often decline the following season. There are only six other teams since 1989 that were more than three wins better than their Pythagorean expectation, and they declined by a combined 22 wins the following season, nearly four per team.
But how many of those teams had to play Blaine Gabbert & Jake Locker 4 times a year? Heck, they open the season at home versus Oakland & Miami. Then they've still got games against St Louis, Arizona, San Diego, & Kansas City..... That's 10 games they are probably the favorites to win. At the very least, they're pushes.

Point being we better be on our Ps & Qs this year, it'll probably take 11 to 12 games to win the division again.
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