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Old 06-24-2013   #17
The Pencil Neck
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Default Re: What's real? PreDraft rankings

Quote:
Originally Posted by keyser View Post
A reach or value pick is really just a matter of how that player was drafted relative to where they would have been drafted by another team. If you are the only team with a player rated highly, then it's still a reach to draft that player early, even if the player ends up being great.
The flaw in your argument is that no one but the other teams know where they have a guy rated. And that's why the concept of "reach" is inherently flawed. If I have a guy rated high and take him just before another team was going to take him, you'll never know that other team was going to take him and if we both were going to "reach", then it's technically not a reach.

Every team has a scheme specific and team specific ranking based on how they perceive their own needs, how they perceive players will fit, and how they project a player will perform in their own system. An overall ranking service is scheme and team independent.

So you might have a first round grade on a guy but if no team thinks that guy fits their scheme, their locker-room, or their needs, that guy is going to drop like a stone and that first round grade is irrelevant.
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