Originally Posted by Lucky
I think the under 6.5. The Eagles are the last place team in a tough division with a 1st time NFL coach. It will take time for Kelly to figure out the league and what he can and can't do.
Vikings at 7.5 looks like a misprint. Definitely over. The Cards should go over 6 with a real QB. I like Tampa Bay and Carolina to go over 6.5 in what could be a free for all in the NFC south. I would never take an over on 12 (Pack and Broncos). And even 5.5 looks unattainable for a team as bad as the Raiders.
Eagles - no idea. I don't think they are a lock for last - Jerrah's team is in that fight.
I think Vikings at 7.5 is reasonable; like Indy they are regressing in the win total. Vikings don't play the Texans, so no All-Pro performances by Ponder this season. Peterson is great, but will he be better?
How are the Cards suppose to get a real QB? I thought they had Carson Palmer. Hopefully Skeleton is still there. Maybe we can trade 'em Stephen McGee.
I agree with the never over on a 12. If they go 12-4 : great season! You push and win nothing. The odds of being at least 13-3 are too slim.
Yeah, Raiders may be fighting Jags for the 1st pick. Almost the inverse theory of don't pick over 12 would be don't pick under 4.5, but clearly the Jags (probably Raiders also) are looking to next years draft for a QB. If they are on pace to win 5 games or more the owner will not be pleased.