Originally Posted by BullBlitz
No one knew for sure that JJ would be the success that he has become, including you. Everyone can be perfectly critical in hindsight.
That's exactly my point, which is why draft grades are valueless.
Originally Posted by Texans_Chick
Or, instead of grading draft picks based on very sketchy, incomplete info, why not just go, OK, let's see what the Texans are thinking, and wait and see.
My approach is, I want a clean slate for the players, and just see what they do on the field as NFL players.
Usually "draft grades" are really boneheads going, "Did the choices correspond to the imperfect information that draftniks have?"
Oh, and this is what I wrote about JJ Watt after the draft:
Welcome JJ Watt: The Most Texany Texan?
It's not a draft grade. It's just an examination of why the Texans may have chosen JJ Watt as opposed to alternatives. And when you look at the imperfect information that was out there, and the info that is just facts stuff (his combine numbers, his awards), you go, yup, I really like this pick a lot.
Given that Wade compared him to Phil Hansen suggests that even he didn't know what was possible.
Draft grades exist to protect the perceived credibility of the draftniks when the teams contradict their sage advice. If they were interested in establishing real credibility, they would do follow-up grades one year later.