View Single Post
Old 04-30-2013   #24
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
 
The Pencil Neck's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Dallas, TX
Age: 52
Posts: 18,139
Rep Power: 264718 The Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respectedThe Pencil Neck is a quality contributor and well respected
Default Re: Draft grades for those who don't like draft grades

I look at it like this, you really can't judge how productive a draft class or a player in the draft is going to be until their entire career is over. You can't even judge it a couple of years later, you have to wait until the entire thing has played out.

But at any particular time, you can project how good you think a player is going to do with a particular team. That's a combination of how good you think the player is AND how well they're going to fit in that team's system. I don't think there's anything wrong with that. It's like playing fantasy football and trying to guess which guys are going to be most productive over the course of a season.

There's a kind of arrogance in that, though. Because you're basically saying that you're better at judging how good a player is going to be than a professional team is and how good a player is going to fit into a particular team's system than the coaches and scouts for that team.

You can also try to guess whether a pick is a reach or not by whether you think that player was still going to be around at that team's next pick. BUT. If you think that a team reached for Player A, it means that you had a lower grade on him than the team did but the fact that one team had a higher grade than you did means that other teams might have had a higher grade than you did. It's more of an indictment against your ability to grade a player than it is an indictment of the team's ability to pick.

So.

It's fun to look at the draft like this and grade it. But until these guys complete their careers, there's no way to say whether this draft was any good or not.
__________________
Adoptee: #55 - Chris Myers.
The Pencil Neck is offline   Reply With Quote