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Old 02-14-2013   #17
Insideop
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Default Re: Doppelmock Version 5.0: PreCombine Double Mock!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Doppelganger View Post
Let's play a numbers game. How many WRs, DTs, and OGs have been selected in the first 2 rounds in the last 5 years?

WRs: 9, 7, 4, 8, 9
DTs:6, 6, 9, 4, 3
OGs:5, 2, 1, 0, 1

The mean number of WRs taken is 7.4. The mean number of DTs taken is 5.6. The mean number of OGs taken is 1.8 with last year potentially being an outlier.

How many quality WRs prspects would I be happy with in the first 2 rounds? 12: Allen, Williams, Austin, Hopkins, Hunter, Patterson, Rogers, Hamilton, Woods, Wheaton, Davis, and Patton. How about DTs? 5: Lotulelei, Hankins, Williams, Williams, and Jenkins. How about OGs?: 5: Warmack, Warford, Fluker, Cooper, and Thomas.

If my math is correct and history repeats itself, 7 WRs, 6 DTs, and 2 OGs will go in the first 2 rounds. Logic suggests that all 5 DTs I like could be gone by the Texans second pick, 5 WRs may be available, and 3 OGs could be had.

Thus, if all were equal, I would take NT Brandon Williams with the 1st rounde and then take the best WR on my board in the 2nd round. OG would have to be addressed in the 3rd or later.
Yep! That would be my choice too. My fear is that Williams will continue to rise but most will grade him out as an early to mid 2nd rounder, where he falls into that void. Question is, do we still take him in the 1st, or wait and try to move up in the 2nd? If this is the case, my guess is that we will go after a WR or ILB/OLB in the 1st, and then try to move up in the 2nd since we should have a bunch of compensatory picks later on. And this, obviously, opens up a whole new set of questions. Who else is looking for a NT like B. Williams and how far up do we have to go to get him? Who is there that wants to trade with us? How much (draft picks) is it going to take to move up?
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