Originally Posted by Big Lou
The Jags, KC and Titans skew the number. A pure W-L-T total for teams played is not an accurate metric to determine strength of schedule, since playing a 1-15 team and a 15-1 equal an 8-8 opponent average. Facing two 8-8 opponents would mean a 12-4 team should win both games, when in actuality they should plan to be 1-1 after those 2 games.
Why would that be? An 8-8 team is, or should be capable of beating a 12-4 team. The 8-8 team has demonstrated that it can put together a win. if we were facing two 2-14 teams we should expect to beat them both. If we're facing a 1-15 team & a 15-1 team, we should expect to be 1-1.