Originally Posted by Dutchrudder
Your overall strategy can work, however next year the Salary Cap Floor goes into effect, so 26 million a year in savings is not feasible. Every team must spend at least 89% of the salary cap for that year going forward. Suppose the 2013 cap will be 121 million (should be close to that), that would mean every team must spend at least 107.69 million on players next year. So at most, a team could save up 13.31 million a year for future use. This is why I have been saying free agency this year will be a circus, teams will be striving to spend money to meet the 107 minimum.
I agree with everything you said, with the exception of the 89% making the 26 Million unfeasible. That minimum is measured cumulatively over a 4 year period, and isn't actually required to be met until the end of the 4 year period. The first four year period is 2013 - 2016. Therefore, a team can go as low as they'd like for the years 2013 - 2015 as long at they make up any cumulative shortfall in 2016. That may not be a smart way to handle the 89%, but it is a way that complies with the CBA.
In my eyes, there are some other problems with the strategy.
First, you're banking on the right players being both available and willing to sign in the year you're spending. Football seems to have less movement of it's top talent among teams than the NBA, and MLB. Part of this is the franchise tag, and part of it is the now almost non-existent ability to restrict free agents, but I think part of it is part of the culture of the league, and may be difficult to change.
Second, you would have to make massive cuts the year after you're "all out" year, and not only would that create the obvious problems, it would probably hinder you're ability to sign the players you want for the one year push. Who's going to want to sign a four year contract with a team knowing that after the upcoming season, they're going to have to dump 78 Million in contracts just to get to the cap (and the described strategy would require getting significantly under the cap). This ignores the fact that guaranteed money would severly limit your ability to reduce the cap amount, even with massive roster cuts (at least given the philosophical contract strategy indicated).