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Old 01-31-2013   #24
76Texan
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Default Re: WR catch rate: Texans

Once again, looking at a few individual numbers, especially at WR, is for fantasy football owners.

If you want to look at number of catches, at least you have to know many pass attempts a team has. A #2 receiver on a team that throws more "should have" more opportunities to catch the ball.
A team with a great #1 receiver normally target those guys more.

Then you have to look at the philosophy of teams; some look for their TEs more than others; some like to take more shots downfield (at the risk of a lower completion rate and more INTs.)

If you look at Yd per Route Ran, don't forget that Fitzgerald's number is really close to Walter; that doesn't mean that he suck, especially for a #1 receiver.

You may not care for Walter's blocking ability, but other guys on the team do.
They know it gives them the chance to go long.

A number that people seems to ignore is the percentage of deep targets; Walter actually had a higher percentage than AJ last year.

If you look at the pass distribution since Kubiak has been here, Walter's role has been very steady. He plays his role very well. He would get more targets if AJ or OD goes out, things like that.

The dollar value the Texans put on him may look "out of whack" to us fans.
Personally, I had stated before the season started that I hope to see Jean and Posey get involved, but neither showed up consistently. Martin, as the slot guy, was also inconsistent.

None of these guys have done anything remotely close to push Walter down the depth chart.

It's up to Jean and Posey to up their game, but with the setback to Posey, it's not going to be easy.

The good thing is that this upcoming draft class is quite deep at receivers.
With the recent run at the position the last few years (it's going to be less of a need overall in the league), it might be the time for the Texans to look for a receiver or two in the next few drafts.
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