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Old 01-22-2013   #54
76Texan
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Default Re: A Little Breakdown on Rick Smith

Based on that study, when you draft a fifth rounder, there's a 17.5% chance that he becomes a starter and 16% chance that he becomes a contributor.

But now you have the opportunity to trade that 5th for 3 random 6th.
Each has a 11.67% chance to become a starter.
On top of that, you have a 48% chance that one becomes a comtributor.

You are almost guaranteed of one success.
Beat a single fifth rounder by a mile, don't you think?
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