Originally Posted by Lucky
I don't want to turn this into another Matt Schaub thread, because the good and bad of 2012 was more than Matt Schaub. The Texans had the premier defender in the NFL. But there are more questions surrounding the defense at a fundamental level than there were at the end of 2011. Andre Johnson had a tremendous statistical season. But many observers realize that he isn't the game changer he was in 2010. The Texans went 11-1 to begin the season, winning games in a variety of ways. They finished 2-4 (including the playoffs), and looked miles away from the team (Patriots) that defeated them twice in that stretch.
Still, this is a QB-centric league. Eventually, the discussion has to come around to the QB. After the 2011 season, many fans and some league observers felt that the Texans would have made it to the Super Bowl had Matt Schaub not been injured in season. The general consensus was that while Schaub was not 1st tier (Brees, Brady, Rodgers), he needed only playoff success to be considered in the Eli/Big Ben tier.
Does anyone think that now?
Let's say the Texans did not extend Schaub before the season. Who would they be signing now? Well, they could still sign Matt Schaub. At a lot less money and for fewer seasons. Because no team would be offering Schaub $60 million now. I'm sorry, but there's no legit excuse for making this type of franchise crippling mistake. And it's the second time McNair has made this very mistake. Inexcusable.
Healthier TEs. More experience wideouts. Better offensive line. With a perfect team around him, maybe it is possible for Matt Schaub to become a championship QB. Maybe. After watching the last 6 games, I don't feel that way. I don't know how Kubiak, Smith, and McNair can. But like it or not, Schaub's contract forces the Texans to keep him on the team. That doesn't preclude them to start looking for his eventual replacement. Despite all of the good things that happened in 2012, the final sentences should read, "Matt Schaub isn't good enough."
Are you sure that you could re-sign him for less money? QBs are getting insane money. There are other teams that have way more money to spend than the Texans because they didn't spend during the no cap year and now have to spend to hit the salary floor. Flacco is likely going to get even more money than he would had he signed prior to the season and it is anticipated to be much higher than Schaub. There are not 32 starting QBs in the NFL. So even second tier sorts of guys would get bizarro money. If you look at various numbers, Schaub's money is about where he ranks as a QB.
Short term it ties your hands but you probably would want to keep him if you were thinking of developing someone else. Drafted guys don't cost as much after the redo of the CBA. But not sure this year is a franchise guy QB draft.