Originally Posted by sandman
Their Give/Take number is -3 according to ESPN, but that being said, the difference is not any indication of anything other than they are giving close to what they are getting. They are middle of the pack from a Giveaway perspective, and slightly below average on the takeaways.
You can have a team like Arizona that is at +3 and fourth in the NFL at takeaways at 32, but they cough up the ball a lot as well. The Vikings hang in the middle in both.
And no disrespect intended for Peterson, who is having an amazing season, but as was pointed out, he is their deep ball threat. Looking at the last 8 games where he has gone into beast mode, he has at least 8 carries that were greater than 50 yards.
If you take away his longest run from each of the last 8 games, his rushing total is reduced by 464 yards and his YPC goes from 7.46 to 5.05. In other words, 36% of his total yards - ALMOST 500 - over the last 8 games have come on 8 plays.
When you consider that over this 8 game stretch, he is averaging 21 carries per game, and along with the 36% stat from above, they are really not a "ground and pound attack" like they claim to be.
In fact, in the two games with his highest carries of 27 and 31, he averaged considerably less than the 7.46 per carry that he had during this overall span.
Again, this isn't meant to be a disrespect and he is clearly a threat to go all the way on any given play. But it is interesting to look at the data without the big plays and you can see why the Vikings are 4-4 during this amazing personal 8-game run for Peterson. They are averaging less than 22 points a game with AD going all kinds of crazy.
Survive an AD long run, or avoid it alltogether, and the Texans will be in control of this game without issue.
I hope we can minimize them to maybe 3 runs between 20 and 30 yards.
I can't recall the actual number, but I don't think we have given up many big run plays this year.
Let's hope the guys keep it up.