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Old 12-06-2012   #114
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Default Re: MNF Pats VS Texans. Lets Predict ;)

Win or lose I truly believe this is a preview of the AFC championship game. The question is - on whose turf will it be played on.

If the Texans win this game, the fat lady will be singing. It's basically a foregone conclusion at that point as they will own the tie-breaker over every single competitor and the Colts will have no real chance at winning the division.

Lose and it get interesting. The range of possibles is from anything to losing the division to the Colts and ending up as an 11-5 wildcard (very unlikely) to still having the #1 seed in the AFC. If they lose, they still control their own destiny, they just need to win out and/or hope the Pats stumble at least once.

Lose and my money is still on the Texans to own the #1 seed and host the Pats in that winner goes to the SB game...but it will certainly become very interesting down the stretch run. Win, and it's all but over.

In the AFC Championship game, I would likely favor the home team, so it's vital that they earn that #1 seed.

If I had to take a guess, I think the Texans finish 2-2 for an overall spectacular 13-3 record. We lose to the Pats and the last game to the Colts on the road....but still manage to secure home-field (barely) as the Pats finish 3-1 and finish 12-4.

As to this game, the weather looks to be a major factor. Brady has been very good in the rain. OTOH, if we look back to Chicago, Schaub wasn't very effective. Assuming this pattern holds, I strongly favor the Pats winning on their home turf -

Pats - 27
Texans - 17
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