Originally Posted by Say Watt
I agree to an extent. It isn't just pot luck. I've won my league two years in a row and am in the playoffs again this year beating my opponent right now. I don't think I'm necessarily going to win, but I have made some pretty dang good draft picks and trades that have gotten me those championships. I traded for Cam last season, drafted Arian in the 5th round two years ago, traded for MJD last year, drafted CJ Spiller and Doug Martin (who I traded away but then traded back for him), etc. Yes, there is definitely some luck involved for example my friend finished third in points for. His ranking: dead last. It seemed every week his opponent had a dominant week. That is ****ty luck. But drafting well and making savvy trades is far from luck.
Anyway, good luck to everyone!
My opinion sounds a bit more extreme then I would like. If you played in a 12 man league I would break it down into tiers. The top 4 owners are doing things right for instance, but their rankings amongst one another is luck. Who in that tier had the least injuries and least points scored against them? How did bye weeks effect them...etc.
In my league we have certain people who are always good owners and a handfull of baby seals. I would say good management / draft *should* get you to the playoffs. Once in the playoffs where its do or die...luck plays a huge role. Take brees this past week as an example. Normally he's nails all season long...1 performance like that in fantasy playoffs and the owner is likely out.