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Old 11-26-2012   #29
brakos82
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Default Re: 2012 Playoff Picture

Percentages are odds of earning that playoff position or better.
Please note this list is NOT sorted by "if playoffs started today", this is based on the odds of each team earning a playoff spot.

Controls Destiny for this spot
Does Not Control Destiny, but still alive
* Hardest remaining schedule in conference
** Easiest remaining schedule in conference
# Plays Monday Night

AFC Playoff Picture - after week 12

Division Leaders:

Texans (10-1)... HFA 76%... Top-2 88%... Division 95%... Playoffs >99%.
- Can clinch playoffs with win over TEN, or NE win, or SD and BAL wins.
Ravens (9-2)... HFA 13%... Top-2 60%... Division 97%... Playoffs >99%.*
- Can clinch playoffs with win over PIT.
- Can clinch division with win and Bengals loss.
Patriots (8-3)... HFA 7%... Top-2 21%... Division 97%... Playoffs 99%.
- Can clinch division with win over MIA.
Broncos (8-3)... HFA 3%... Top-2 28%... Division >99%... Playoffs >99%.
- Can clinch division with win over TB, or CIN win.

Wild-Cards:

Colts (7-4) (3 behind HOU)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 83%.
Steelers (6-5) (3 behind BAL)... Top-2 <1%... Division 1%... Playoffs 49%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Bengals (6-5) (3 behind BAL)... Top-2 <1%... Division 1%... Playoffs 33%.
Dolphins (5-6) (3 behind NE)... Top-2 <1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 10%.

Close to elimination:

Chargers (4-7) Playoffs: 9%.
Jets (4-7) Playoffs: 8%.
Bills (4-7) Playoffs: 6%.
Titans (4-7) Playoffs: 3%.
Raiders (3-8) Playoffs: 1%.**
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss to CLE and IND, CIN, PIT wins.
Browns (3-8) Playoffs: <1%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss to OAK and IND, CIN, PIT wins.
Jaguars (2-9) Playoffs: <1%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss to BUF, or IND, CIN, PIT wins.

Eliminated:

Chiefs (1-10)

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NFC Playoff Picture - after week 12

Division Leaders:

Falcons (10-1)... HFA 86%... Top-2 95%... Division >99%... Playoffs >99%.
- Can clinch playoffs with win over NO and CHI win.
- Can clinch division with win over NO and DEN win.
49ers (8-2-1)... HFA 8%... Top-2 58%... Division 95%... Playoffs 99%.
Bears (8-3)... HFA 5%... Top-2 30%... Division 58%... Playoffs 93%.
Giants (7-4)... HFA <1%... Top-2 4%... Division 63%... Playoffs 79%.

Wild-Cards:

Packers (7-4) (1 behind CHI)... HFA 1%... Top-2 10%... Division 38%... Playoffs 82%.
Seahawks (6-5) (2.5 behind SF)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 41%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Cowboys (5-6) (2 behind NYG)... Top-2 <1%... Division 18%... Playoffs 28%.
Redskins (5-6) (2 behind NYG)... Top-2 <1%... Divsion 17%... Playoffs 25%.
Vikings (6-5) (2 behind CHI)... Top-2 <1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 19%.*
Buccs (6-5) (4 behind ATL)... Division <1%... Playoffs 19%.

Close to elimination:

Saints (5-6) Playoffs: 7%.
Rams (4-6-1) Playoffs: 4%.
Eagles (3-7) Playoffs: 2%.#
Cardinals (4-7) Playoffs: 1%.
Lions (4-7) Playoffs: 1%.
Panthers (2-8) Playoffs: <1%.#**
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss to PHI and: loss to KC, or NO, or NYJ, or MIN wins.

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2013 Draft Order

Percentages are odds of getting that draft pick or higher. Does not account for trades. Teams shown are top-5 >25%.

Chiefs (1-10) - #1 77%... Top-3 96%... Top-5 99%.
Jaguars (2-9) - #1 8%... Top-3 64%... Top-5 81%.
Panthers (2-8) - #1 7%... Top-3 44%... Top-5 65%.
Browns (3-8) - #1 2%... Top-3 24%... Top-5 49%.
Eagles (3-7) - #1 1%... Top-3 20%... Top-5 42%.
Raiders (3-8) - #1 2%... Top-3 18%... Top-5 38%.
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