View Single Post
Old 11-19-2012   #19
brakos82
Hall of Fame
 
brakos82's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: LOHAR (Land of Hipsters and Rain)
Section: 1009 E. Union
Posts: 19,795
Rep Power: 57076 brakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respectedbrakos82 is a quality contributor and well respected
Send a message via AIM to brakos82
Default Re: 2012 Playoff Picture

Percentages are odds of earning that playoff position or better.
Please note this list is NOT sorted by "if playoffs started today", this is based on the odds of each team earning a playoff spot.

Controls Destiny for this spot
Does Not Control Destiny, but still alive
* Hardest remaining schedule in conference
** Easiest remaining schedule in conference
# Monday Night game tonight

AFC Playoff Picture - after week 11

Division Leaders:

Texans (9-1)... HFA 70%... Top-2 85%... Division 95%... Playoffs >99%.* - Can clinch playoff berth with HOU, NE, SEA, JAX, CLE wins.
Ravens (8-2)... HFA 16%... Top-2 55%... Division 90%... Playoffs 99%.
Patriots (7-3)... HFA 9%... Top-2 24%... Division 92%... Playoffs 95%.
Broncos (7-3)... HFA 5%... Top-2 33%... Division 99%... Playoffs >99%.


Wild-Cards:

Steelers (6-4) (2 behind BAL)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 31%... Playoffs 69%.
Colts (6-4) (3 behind HOU)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 58%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Bengals (5-5) (3 behind BAL)... Top-2 <1%... Division 1%... Playoffs 17%.
Jets (4-6) (3 behind NE)... Top-2 <1%... Division 3%... Playoffs 16%.
Chargers (4-6) (3 behind DEN)... Division <1%... Playoffs 14%.
Bills (4-6) (3 behind NE)... Division 1%... Playoffs 12%.
Titans (4-6) (5 behind HOU)... Division <1%... Playoffs 12%.

All-but-eliminated:

Dolphins (4-6) Playoffs: 6%.
Raiders (3-7) Playoffs: 3%.**
Browns (2-8) Playoffs: <1%. - eliminated from division race
Chiefs (1-9) Playoffs: <1%. - can be eliminated from playoffs with DEN and either TEN or IND wins.
Jaguars (1-9) Playoffs: <1%. - eliminated from division race, can be eliminated from playoffs with loss and IND wins, and one of PIT, CIN, SD wins.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

NFC Playoff Picture - after week 11

Division Leaders:

Falcons (9-1)... HFA 69%... Top-2 90%... Division 96%... Playoffs 99%.
Bears (7-2)... HFA 15%... Top-2 37%... Division 47%... Playoffs 84%.#
49ers (6-2-1)... HFA 6%... Top-2 28%... Division 69%... Playoffs 84%.#
Giants (6-4)... HFA 1%... Top-2 5%... Division 37%... Playoffs 53%.

Wild-Cards:

Packers (7-3) (0.5 behind CHI)... HFA 8%... Top-2 28%... Division 45%... Playoffs 84%.
Cowboys (5-5) (1 behind NYG)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 53%... Playoffs 58%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Seahawks (6-4) (1 behind SF)... HFA <1%... Top-2 7%... Division 26%... Playoffs 55%.
Buccs (6-4) (3 behind ATL)... HFA <1%... Top 2 1%... Division 3%... Playoffs 27%.
Vikings (6-4) (1.5 behind CHI)... HFA <1%... Top-2 2%... Division 8%... Playoffs 22%.*
Saints (5-5) (4 behind ATL)... Division <1%... Playoffs 15%.
Redskins (4-6) (2 behind NYG)... Top-2 <1%... Divsion 10%... Playoffs 12%.

All-but-eliminated:

Cardinals (4-6) Playoffs: 4%.
Rams (3-6-1) Playoffs: 2%.
Eagles (3-7) Playoffs: 2%.
Lions (4-6) Playoffs: 1%.*
Panthers (2-8) Playoffs: <1%.** - eliminated from division race, can be eliminated from playoffs with loss and CHI, MIN wins.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

2013 Draft Order

Percentages are odds of getting that draft pick or higher. Does not account for trades. Teams shown are top-5 >25%.

Chiefs (1-9) - #1 54%... Top-3 87%... Top-5 96%.
Jaguars (1-9) - #1 27%... Top-3 75%... Top-5 89%.
Browns (2-8) - #1 10%... Top-3 47%... Top-5 72%.
Panthers (2-8) - #1 5%... Top-3 33%... Top-5 58%.
Eagles (3-7) - #1 1%... Top-3 15%... Top-5 37%.
Rams (3-6-1) - #1 <1%... Top-3 9%... Top-5 30%.
Raiders (3-7) - #1 2%... Top-3 17%... Top-5 36%.
__________________
Better than Vista, and 30% more cats than last year's model!

Quote:
Originally Posted by TexanSam View Post
For being the most intelligent form of life on our planet, we sure do some incredibly stupid things.
brakos82 is offline   Reply With Quote