Originally Posted by Stemp
It would take the Fiesta wanting to showcase A&M and Texas and picking them instead of the "next best" team. Once the guaranteed spots are taken, the BCS game committees are free to select any team in the top 14 of the BCS.
I could see A&M making a BCS bowl in that case, but unless Texas pulls off an upset in Manhattan, I don't see them getting a BCS bowl. They are 15 in the computers now, and a win over TCU likely won't move them up much. I think they will be just outside the top 14 and ineligible for the BCS, in which case they end up in the Cotton Bowl.
The question will then be which two teams from the SEC go to BCS bowl games? I think the answer will be the SEC champion (likely Bama) and one of Georgia, LSU, Florida or South Carolina. Several of those teams have their final game against a ranked opponent or will be in the CCG, which will keep them ahead of A&M who only has lowly SHSU and Mizzou to play. We would need quite a miracle of upsets and losses to push us into an at large bid at this point.
I think A&M is going to the Cotton Bowl regardless, but they may end up playing OU if they don't get an at large bid. I think the strongest possibility at this point is A&M/UT in the Cotton Bowl, and it will be quite an interesting game with more national appeal than I can ever remember before.