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Old 11-12-2012   #16
brakos82
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Default Re: 2012 Playoff Picture

Percentages are odds of earning that playoff position or better.
Please note this list is NOT sorted by "if playoffs started today", this is based on the odds of each team earning a playoff spot.

Controls Destiny for this spot
Does Not Control Destiny, but still alive
* Hardest remaining schedule in conference
** Easiest remaining schedule in conference
# Monday Night game tonight

AFC Playoff Picture - after week 10

Division Leaders:

Texans (8-1)... HFA 72%... Top-2 85%... Division 91%... Playoffs >99%.
Ravens (7-2)... HFA 11%... Top-2 45%... Division 70%... Playoffs 93%.*
Patriots (6-3)... HFA 7%... Top-2 20%... Division 83%... Playoffs 87%.
Broncos (6-3)... HFA 5%... Top-2 36%... Division 95%... Playoffs 97%.


Wild-Cards:

Steelers (5-3) (1.5 behind BAL)... HFA 1%... Top-2 10%... Division 31%... Playoffs 72%.#
Colts (6-3) (2 behind HOU)... HFA 3%... Top-2 6%... Division 9%... Playoffs 65%.*

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Chargers (4-5) (2 behind DEN)... Top-2 <1%... Division 3%... Playoffs 19%.
Dolphins (4-5) (2 behind NE)... Top-2 <1%... Division 13%... Playoffs 18%.
Titans (4-6) (4.5 behind HOU)... Division <1%... Playoffs 12%.
Bengals (4-5) (3 behind BAL)... Division 1%... Playoffs 11%.
NY Jets (3-6) (3 behind NE)... Division 3%... Playoffs 10%.

All-but-eliminated:

Raiders (3-5) Playoffs: 8%.**
Bills (3-5) Playoffs: 8%.
Browns (2-7) Playoffs: <1%.
Chiefs (1-7) Playoffs: <1%.#
Jaguars (1-8) Playoffs: <1%.

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NFC Playoff Picture - after week 10

Division Leaders:

Falcons (8-1)... HFA 64%... Top-2 87%... Division 96%... Playoffs 99%.
Bears (7-2)... HFA 18%... Top-2 40%... Division 53%... Playoffs 84%.
49ers (6-2-1)... HFA 8%... Top-2 31%... Division 67%... Playoffs 83%.
Giants (6-4)... HFA 1%... Top-2 6%... Division 38%... Playoffs 55%.

Wild-Cards:

Packers (6-3) (1 behind CHI)... HFA 7%... Top-2 21%... Division 35%... Playoffs 72%.
Seahawks (6-4) (1 behind SF)... HFA 1%... Top-2 8%... Division 26%... Playoffs 55%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Cowboys (4-5) (1.5 behind NYG)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 47%... Playoffs 53%.**
Vikings (6-4) (1.5 behind CHI)... HFA <1%... Top-2 2%... Division 10%... Playoffs 26%.
Buccs (5-4) (3 behind ATL)... Top 2 1%... Division 1%... Playoffs 19%.
Redskins (3-6) (2.5 behind NYG)... Divsion 8%... Playoffs 10%.
Saints (4-5) (4 behind ATL)... Division <1%... Playoffs 10%.

All-but-eliminated:

Rams (3-5-1) Playoffs: 9%.
Cardinals (4-5) Playoffs: 8%.
Lions (4-4) Playoffs: 8%.*
Eagles (3-5) Playoffs: 7%.
Panthers (2-6) Playoffs: <1%.
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