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Old 11-05-2012   #17
brakos82
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Default Re: 2012 Playoff Picture

Percentages are odds of earning that playoff position or better.
Please note this list is NOT sorted by "if playoffs started today", this is based on the odds of each team earning a playoff spot.

Controls Destiny for this spot
Does Not Control Destiny, but still alive
* Hardest remaining schedule in conference
** Easiest remaining schedule in conference

AFC Playoff Picture - after week 9

Division Leaders:

Texans (7-1)... HFA 57%... Top-2 73%... Division 86%... Playoffs 98%.*
Ravens (6-2)... HFA 16%... Top-2 41%... Division 62%... Playoffs 86%.
Broncos (5-3)... HFA 9%... Top-2 34%... Division 86%... Playoffs 91%.**
Patriots (5-3)... HFA 8%... Top-2 20%... Division 63%... Playoffs 72%.

Wild-Cards:

Steelers (5-3) (1 behind BAL)... HFA 4%... Top-2 16%... Division 37%... Playoffs 71%.
Colts (5-3) (2 behind HOU)... HFA 5%... Top-2 10%... Division 15%... Playoffs 55%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Dolphins (4-4) (1 behind NE)... HFA <1%... Top-2 3%... Division 24%... Playoffs 38%.
Chargers (4-4) (1 behind DEN)... HFA <1%... Top-2 2%... Division 10%... Playoffs 28%.
NY Jets (3-5) (2 behind NE)... Top-2 <1%... Division 8%... Playoffs 19%.
Raiders (3-5) (2 behind DEN)... Top-2 <1%... Division 5%... Playoffs 17%.
Bills (3-5) (1.5 behind NE)... Top-2 <1%... Division 5%... Playoffs 12%.

All-but-eliminated:

Bengals (3-5) Playoffs: 6%.
Titans (3-6) Playoffs: 5%.
Browns (2-6) Playoffs: <1%.
Chiefs (1-7) Playoffs: <1%.
Jaguars (1-7) Playoffs: <1%.

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NFC Playoff Picture - after week 9 (without MNF)

Division Leaders:

Falcons (8-0)... HFA 75%... Top-2 92%... Division 99%... Playoffs >99%.
Bears (7-1)... HFA 14%... Top-2 44%... Division 63%... Playoffs 90%.
49ers (6-2)... HFA 7%... Top-2 38%... Division 84%... Playoffs 90%.
Giants (6-3)... HFA 2%... Top-2 10%... Division 37%... Playoffs 67%.

Wild-Cards:

Packers (6-3) (1.5 behind CHI)... HFA 2%... Top-2 11%... Division 27%... Playoffs 69%.
Seahawks (5-4) (1.5 behind SF)... HFA <1%... Top-2 2%... Division 10%... Playoffs 41%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Eagles (3-4) (2 behind NYG)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 27%... Playoffs 35%.
Cowboys (3-5) (2.5 behind NYG)... Top-2 <1%... Division 22%... Playoffs 33%.**
Vikings (5-4) (2.5 behind CHI)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 6%... Playoffs 21%.*
Lions (4-4) (3 behind CHI)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 19%.*
Buccs (4-4) (4 behind ATL)... Division <1%... Playoffs 11%.

All-but-eliminated:

Rams (3-5) Playoffs: 9%.
Cardinals (4-5) Playoffs: 8%.
Redskins (3-6) Playoffs: 5%.
Panthers (2-6) Playoffs: 1%.
Saints (2-5) Playoffs: 1%.
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