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Join Date: Apr 2004
Re: Buffalo isn't a lost cause in 2012, they're just lost.
It's somewhat surprising to me that so many are surprised at the stat "no rushing TD allowed." It has been repeatedly reported in various articles. Nevertheless, here are some additional interesting stats that may play into the strategy that makes up this game.
When he’s calling for a run on Sunday, Kubiak is going to have trouble deciding where to send Foster. The Bills allow 6 yards to the left sideline, 8.3 to the left side, 5.2 up the middle, 5 to the right and 6.5 to the right sideline.
That’s a lot of yards in every direction.
By comparison, Foster averages 4.8 yards to the left sideline, 2.3 to the left side, 3.1 up the middle, 4.6 to the right side and 4.1 to the right sideline.
Quarterback Matt Schaub and his Buffalo counterpart, Ryan Fitzpatrick, should throw a lot of short passes, avoid interceptions and set up the running games to be the feature in this Sunday afternoon matinee.
The Texans better establish the run early, and they better run often and control the clock the way they usually do. They’re first in the NFL with an average time of possession of 35 minutes and 23 seconds.
Last season, when the Texans ranked second in rushing with 153 yards a game, they were first in time of possession at 32:41. They’re up to their old tricks this season.
If the Texans run at least 30 times against the Bills, there’s a good chance they’ll win and run their record to 7-1 at the halfway point of the season. Since Kubiak
became their coach in 2006, the Texans are 38-5 (.884), including 6-0 this season, when they run at least 30 times.
The Bills, who allow 32.4 points a game, are no slouch when it comes to the run. Kubiak looks with envy at their average of 150.3 yards a game, including 5.3 yards a carry.
Buffalo doesn’t have a powerful running game that can pound the ball between the tackles. Head coach Chan Gailey likes to spread out his offense and run C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson.
Bills pack a punch, too
Spiller has 523 yards and averages 7.3 a carry. With a gaudy average like that, it’s obvious he can break long runs. His longest this season has been 56.
Buffalo’s not likely to consistently drive the ball down the field against a Wade Phillips defense that hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown. For the Bills to score, they need to make big plays. Through seven games, Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers is the only quarterback who’s been able to produce big plays against the Texans.