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Old 12-27-2010   #7
drs23 
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Default Re: Draft position question

Quote:
Originally Posted by Seņor Stan View Post
http://espn.go.com/blog/afcsouth



Projected Order Of Top 11 Picks In 2011 NFL Draft
Team W-L Win Pct. Strength of Schedule*
1. Panthers 2-13 .133 .576
2. Broncos 4-11 .267 .508
3. Bengals 4-11 .267 .580
4. Bills 4-11 .267 .582
5. Cardinals 5-10 .333 .456
6. 49ers 5-10 .333 .494
7. Cowboys 5-10 .333 .521
8. Texans 5-10 .333 .527
9. Lions 5-10 .333 .549
10. Browns 5-10 .333 .576
11. Vikings 5-9 .357 .542

* Includes W-L of all opponents (not just those played to date).

"best" case scenario if the Texans lose looks like the #4 pick.

Carolina - # 1 lock
Broncos - even if Broncos win, they will have the lower strength of schedule.
Loser of Cards / Niners will draft ahead of the Texans.

To pick #4...
The Bengals have to beat the Ravens (Ravens still alive for division with a Steelers loss, so they will be trying.)
The Bills have to beat the Jets (Jets are locked into the 6 seed - should rest)

To Pick #5
Two of the Bengals, Bills, or Cowboys have to win.
Cowboys have Philly in Philly, but the Eagles will probably rest players after their crazy Tuesday night game.
The winner of the Cards/49ers will pick after the Texans

Basically if the Texans lose, they will pick no worse than 7th.

If they win...

worst case would be 14th...but don't have the SOS for the teams with 6 wins...might be better than that.
Thanks for running that down Stan. I'm following the mock threads closely. Looks like the Texans will be in a great position to draft a game changer. Need a few more pieces I know, but it's a start.
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