I can buy anywhere from 6 to 10 wins depending on injuries, rookie contributions on D, and the big key - Carr's progression.
If there are no injuries to speak of, and everything else breaks nearly perfectly, a 10 win season is possible. Not going out on that limb though.
If I had to be pinned down, I would say 7-9, or maybe 8-8 at best. We need one more offseason to increase depth, gain experience, etc., then it's off to the playoffs in 05!!!!!!