Originally Posted by texasguy346
Those are interesting numbers Lucky, but you also have to consider defenses getting a feel for him as well. Early in the season teams don't know what to expect from NFL rookies, much less a rookie on an expansion team. Once they get some film on him D-Coordinators can set up their defenses to slow him down.
That's possible, but there was tape from the preseason games to go off of. The Texans were going to Andre pretty often then. And AJ was the #3 pick in the draft, it's not as if he snuck up on anyone. There was plenty of tape on Anquan Boldin as the season wore on, but he was solid throughout.
I just see the Carr injury as the real determining factor in AJ's decline. In the 9 games in which David took the majority of snaps, Andre averaged 4.9 catches/game. In the 7 other games, he averaged 3.1 receptions. In the last 2 games of the year (Carr took all of the snaps) Johnson averaged 5 receptions for 79.5 yards. Extrapolate those numbers for a season and you get (again) 80 catches/1272 yards.