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-   -   packers defeated? (http://www.texanstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=95291)

PandapuffTexan 10-11-2012 10:27 AM

packers defeated?
 
I know the forums dont mean much but even with loss of cushing and the average way we played agaisnt the jets. Packers fans are shaking in there boots, they fear jj watt will eat rodgers. http://www.packerforum.com/threads/o...-thread.39854/

Dread-Head 10-11-2012 10:28 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
If it bleeds...we can kill it.

gtexan02 10-11-2012 10:45 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
JJ Watt went to Wisconsin so I bet he's excited to play the Packers

Vinnie 10-11-2012 10:56 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
I don't know, someone must still have some faith in the pack. The line opened at Texans -5.5 and it's moved to Texans -3.5.

Mike77015 10-11-2012 11:09 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
The line movement is based on the bets. They must have been real heavy on the Texans side so the bookies try and lower the line to get interest in GB so that they will not take such a hit if the Texans cover.

Vinnie 10-11-2012 11:14 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike77015 (Post 2033730)
The line movement is based on the bets. They must have been real heavy on the Texans side so the bookies try and lower the line to get interest in GB so that they will not take such a hit if the Texans cover.

You've got it backwards. If they wanted to get interest in Green Bay they'd spot them more points, not less.

ThaJokaa 10-11-2012 11:16 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Lol theyre ****ting bricks.

Its gonna be a close and good game, hopefully the Texans pull it out! But Any Given Sunday

TexansBlood 10-11-2012 11:24 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Vinnie (Post 2033733)
You've got it backwards. If they wanted to get interest in Green Bay they'd spot them more points, not less.

The Texans have covered all the games except for this past MNF. Heavy betting on the Texans.

Marcus 10-11-2012 11:39 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Hehe . . They still think AJ needs to be double-covered.

ThaJokaa 10-11-2012 11:50 AM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Doesnt he? AJ w/ man coverage = disaster for opposing team (If Kubes every decides to run plays for him)

Vinnie 10-11-2012 12:05 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TexansBlood (Post 2033747)
The Texans have covered all the games except for this past MNF. Heavy betting on the Texans.

That doesn't make any sense for the line to move that direction if there is heavy betting on the Texans. If that were the case, the line would move the other way to encourage people to bet pack to cover.

Malloy 10-11-2012 12:22 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TexansBlood (Post 2033747)
The Texans have covered all the games except for this past MNF. Heavy betting on the Texans.

They cost me 100$ :I

2012Champs 10-11-2012 12:26 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Vinnie (Post 2033771)
That doesn't make any sense for the line to move that direction if there is heavy betting on the Texans. If that were the case, the line would move the other way to encourage people to bet pack to cover.



You are correct. Im not sure why heavy bets hitting the texans side would narrow the spread. That would be the case for heavy bets hitting the pack. The spread would widden with heavy bets on the favorite and Narrow with heavy bets on the underdog

TexansBlood 10-11-2012 12:49 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Vinnie (Post 2033771)
That doesn't make any sense for the line to move that direction if there is heavy betting on the Texans. If that were the case, the line would move the other way to encourage people to bet pack to cover.

When did the line start at -5.5? Before the Jets game I assume?? All I seen is -3.5 and -4. And the line never ever or rarely does it move the other way fyi. Vegas has us winning a close game, let's just hope our Texans come out strong and ready.

2012Champs 10-11-2012 01:01 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TexansBlood (Post 2033808)
When did the line start at -5.5? Before the Jets game I assume?? All I seen is -3.5 and -4. And the line never ever or rarely does it move the other way fyi. Vegas has us winning a close game, let's just hope our Texans come out strong and ready.



sportsbook has -3.5
hilton -3
ceasers -3.5
mgm -4
stations -4


scores and odds has

51% of the money going with the texans minus points
49% taking the packers and points

89% taking the money line on the packers
11% ml for texans

Toro Toe 10-11-2012 01:09 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Long time lurker, first time poster.

I found this stat comforting:

For the Packers:

Total points scored:113 total points allowed:112

76Texan 10-11-2012 01:25 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TexansBlood (Post 2033808)
When did the line start at -5.5? Before the Jets game I assume?? All I seen is -3.5 and -4. And the line never ever or rarely does it move the other way fyi. Vegas has us winning a close game, let's just hope our Texans come out strong and ready.

Yeah, the 5.5 was before the MNF game.

It was changed the next day.
I'm pretty sure they adjusted it mostly due to the injury to Cushing.

76Texan 10-11-2012 01:29 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Toro Toe (Post 2033823)
Long time lurker, first time poster.

I found this stat comforting:

For the Packers:

Total points scored:113 total points allowed:112

Why?

2012Champs 10-11-2012 01:40 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 76Texan (Post 2033833)
Why?



Id guess because the difference is +1



our numbers are 149/73 +76

Toro Toe 10-11-2012 01:45 PM

Re: packers defeated?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 76Texan (Post 2033833)
Why?

I didnt figure this needed explaination...


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