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View Full Version : Flacco Loves Home Field


CloakNNNdagger
01-14-2012, 04:36 PM
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
How sweet is home for Flacco, Ravens? (http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/print?id=36282)
By Trevor Ebaugh and Michael Bonzagni

ESPN Stats & InformationThe Ravens’ offensive production this season has been night and day, depending on the location.
With their Week 17 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals, the Baltimore Ravens secured at least one playoff game at home.

This was good news for the Ravens because Joe Flacco has performed significantly worse on the road this season, particularly in the second half. The Ravens were also the only AFC team to go undefeated at home, but were just 4-4 on the road.

But just how important is the home field advantage? Let’s take a closer look.

Flacco has struggled away from M&T Bank Stadium when opposing defenses bring five or more pass rushers, posting a 32.7 QBR on the road compared to 62.5 at home.

Texans Defense
5+ Rushers, NFL Ranks
Rank
Yds/att 5.5 2nd
Int 7 5th
QBR 42.8 9th

The Houston Texans sent five or more pass rushers 50 percent of the time during the regular season, the second-highest rate in the NFL, and were tied for the league lead with 24 sacks in those situations.

Opposing quarterbacks had trouble handling the extra pressure Wade Phillips sent this season, as the Texans allowed the ninth-lowest Total QBR in the NFL when sending five or more rushers.

When Flacco was able to handle added pressure, the Ravens usually won. In their 12 victories during the regular season (including all eight wins at home), Flacco’s QBR against five or more rushers was 59.9, compared to 9.9 in the Ravens’ four losses (all of which came on the road).

Joe Flacco 2nd Half
This Season
Away Home
QBR 51.1 85.3
EPA 7.1 20.8
Yds/att 6.0 7.8

Digging deeper into the numbers, when Joe Flacco played well in the first half during the regular season, the Ravens usually came away with the victory.

In the Ravens’ 12 wins, Flacco posted a 29.5 Total EPA (Expected Points Added) and a 70.0 QBR in the first half. In their four losses, Flacco was much less effective, posting a Total EPA of just -0.9 and a QBR of 30.4.

Flacco’s improved performance in victories allowed offensive coordinator Cam Cameron to lean on the Ravens’ elite running game in the second half. Baltimore averaged 18 rushes in the second half of wins compared to four attempts in losses.

The Ravens have made the playoffs every year since drafting Flacco, but have not played a postseason game at home over that span. Flacco will have his hands full with the Texans’ tenacious defense, but if the regular season is any indicator, the Ravens’ home field advantage gives them the edge.

A couple of additional things that I've compiled that I find interesting:

1) The Ravens are the top NFL Red Zone defense, allowing only 38.10% TDs......but strangely enough 50% at home while 30.77% on the road.

2) The Ravens have had Flacco play action only 15% of plays.

3) The Ravens, who allow the lowest passer rating versus the blitz, brought five or more rushers 54 percent of the time on third down.

4) Flacco has a completion rate of 57%. He has completed 60 percent of his throws inside of 10 yards, but beyond that, his completion percentage drops to 38.5 percent.

5) In the last 21 games that Ray Rice has touched the ball 20 times or more, the Ravens are 20-1

Daravenator
01-14-2012, 04:41 PM
Everybody makes a big deal about the Ravens road record. Seriously, go undefeated at home and split your road games every year...and your team will be a lock for the post-season at 12-4, and probably win their division.

Jaysol
01-14-2012, 05:12 PM
I heard on Mike & Mike a couple of days ago that teams are like 3 - 4 in their first playoff game after going 8-0 at home in the regular season. So home field advantage during the regular season doesn't always translate to domination during the playoffs.

Also, the home team was 4-0 during the wildcard week. The home teams have never gone 8-0 during the wildcard and divisional rounds of the playoffs. So statistics say at least one of the home teams will lose this week. My money is on the Ravens.

Daravenator
01-14-2012, 08:08 PM
I heard on Mike & Mike a couple of days ago that teams are like 3 - 4 in their first playoff game after going 8-0 at home in the regular season. So home field advantage during the regular season doesn't always translate to domination during the playoffs.

Also, the home team was 4-0 during the wildcard week. The home teams have never gone 8-0 during the wildcard and divisional rounds of the playoffs. So statistics say at least one of the home teams will lose this week. My money is on the Ravens.

How much we talkin' about? $20.00? $50.00? A C-note?

TexansFanatic
01-14-2012, 08:16 PM
I heard on Mike & Mike a couple of days ago that teams are like 3 - 4 in their first playoff game after going 8-0 at home in the regular season. So home field advantage during the regular season doesn't always translate to domination during the playoffs.

Also, the home team was 4-0 during the wildcard week. The home teams have never gone 8-0 during the wildcard and divisional rounds of the playoffs. So statistics say at least one of the home teams will lose this week. My money is on the Ravens.

Wow! That's good stuff. The home teams have never gone 8-0 during the wildcard and divisional round.

So far this weekend the Niners have held serve and the Pats are up by two TDs early in the 2nd quarter.

Does Green Bay lose or will the loser be.....dun dun dunnnnnn.....the Ravens???

NastyNate
01-14-2012, 08:19 PM
I wish ESPN would drop the stupid new QBR rating system. It's frustrating reading stuff from them.

Playoffs
01-14-2012, 09:17 PM
Home field sweep unlikely this weekend.

Green Bay/Baltimore.

TexansFanatic
01-14-2012, 10:16 PM
It could actually be that, in statistical terms, the wild-card/divisional rounds are way overdue for a sweep.

Just sayin'......

Carr Bombed
01-14-2012, 10:29 PM
Everybody makes a big deal about the Ravens road record. Seriously, go undefeated at home and split your road games every year...and your team will be a lock for the post-season at 12-4, and probably win their division.

The criticism doesn't have anything to do with your "road record", I'm pretty sure it's due to the teams you lost to. Jacksonville and St. Louis.

NastyNate
01-14-2012, 10:53 PM
The criticism doesn't have anything to do with your "road record", I'm pretty sure it's due to the teams you lost to. Jacksonville and St. Louis.

Shhh, Carolina and Indy for us :mariopalm:

Carr Bombed
01-14-2012, 11:27 PM
Shhh, Carolina and Indy for us :mariopalm:

And that's fine... We're starting a 3rd string rookie and NOBODY is picking us to win this game. they're the ones who are picked to hammer us and are picked to be a shoe in for the AFC Championship game.

Pieman2005
01-14-2012, 11:47 PM
And that's fine... We're starting a 3rd string rookie and NOBODY is picking us to win this game. they're the ones who are picked to hammer us and are picked to be a shoe in for the AFC Championship game.

Meh. When we win, Yates is "great". When we lose, it's cause "WE HAD OUR 3RD STRING" :kitten:

TheMatrix31
01-15-2012, 12:33 AM
Shhh, Carolina and Indy for us :mariopalm:

Except they lost to those crappy teams while the season mattered. We lost to them with only seeding involved and half our team gone.

Not that it didn't matter to us anyway, but the situations aren't nearly comparable.

NastyNate
01-15-2012, 02:13 AM
Except they lost to those crappy teams while the season mattered. We lost to them with only seeding involved and half our team gone.

Not that it didn't matter to us anyway, but the situations aren't nearly comparable.

We were still playing for a bye week, so yes, all games mattered. Double standards are pretty prevalent in this thread. Really you want to know the only difference this week between our teams? Home field advantage. That's about it. Both teams have stoud defenses, solid run games, and streaky qb play.

TheMatrix31
01-15-2012, 02:13 AM
eally you want to know the only difference this week between our teams? Home field advantage. That's about it. Both teams have stoud defenses, solid run games, and streaky qb play.

That much is true.

LonerATO
01-15-2012, 02:23 AM
You can't have my fruit cocktail Nasty Nate!

NastyNate
01-15-2012, 02:58 AM
You can't have my fruit cocktail Nasty Nate!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zlPQJ7qIyyQ


"I'm somebody's bish!"

Daravenator
01-15-2012, 05:12 AM
We were still playing for a bye week, so yes, all games mattered. Double standards are pretty prevalent in this thread. Really you want to know the only difference this week between our teams? Home field advantage. That's about it. Both teams have stoud defenses, solid run games, and streaky qb play.

Good post. All that is true.

LEATHERHEAD
01-15-2012, 06:01 AM
How much we talkin' about? $20.00? $50.00? A C-note?

how about i bet you? if You win i will buy a Ravens HAT and wear it for (2- WEEKS)and i will post a pic on this site..i also will wear it around my Texans people to show you i`m a good sport... and will post on the Ravens site you would like...Same to you ,we win you buy our hat wear it 2- weeks?:kubepalm:

Daravenator
01-15-2012, 06:37 AM
how about i bet you? if You win i will buy a Ravens HAT and wear it for (2- WEEKS)and i will post a pic on this site..i also will wear it around my Texans people to show you i`m a good sport... and will post on the Ravens site you would like...Same to you ,we win you buy our hat wear it 2- weeks?:kubepalm:

I have no clue where I will find a Texans hat other than the Net, but I'm game! Gotta be one somewhere in the area!

Carr Bombed
01-15-2012, 07:52 AM
Meh. When we win, Yates is "great". When we lose, it's cause "WE HAD OUR 3RD STRING" :kitten:

And what does that have to do with what I posted? Who cares what people say about Yates after a win... Fact is, he was a 3rd string QB and IS a rookie.


Doesn't change the fact that we are the underdogs and we aren't supposed to be here. We're playing with house money, while they are supposed to be in the SB. So who really gives a crap if we lost to the Colts or Panthers? They haven't had the injuries that we've suffered and that team has NO EXCUSE to be losing to teams like the Jaguars or the Rams... and that's the reason why people have criticized their play away from home. It had nothing to do with their win and loss record away from home, it was because of the teams they lost to. If they lost to the Packers or the Patriots away from home nobody would've said anything. When you lose to the Jags or Rams away from home, people take notice and that was my original point.


And while you're talking about the Colts, let's be honest here.... The damn officials had more to do with that loss than the Texans did. J.J. Watt had one of the greatest individual performances that I've seen from a Dlineman and they straight robbed him. Oh well, I doubt that crew was invited to officiate in the post season after that game.

Thorn
01-15-2012, 07:54 AM
meh.......Any Given Sunday.

technosailor
01-15-2012, 08:01 AM
that team has NO EXCUSE to be losing to teams like the Jaguars or the Rams...
Let's not forget the Seahawks...

TheMatrix31
01-15-2012, 08:14 AM
They worked the Rams. Lost to the Seahawks, Jaguars, Chargers, Titans, and should have lost to the Cardinals.

OntRavenFan
01-15-2012, 08:26 AM
They worked the Rams. Lost to the Seahawks, Jaguars, Chargers, Titans, and should have lost to the Cardinals.

Should have lost for what reason? Because we trailed at halftime? By that logic, how many games should the Texans "have lost" this year?

When it comes to making the playoffs and seeding, I would rather lose to weaker teams. Losing to weaker teams improves your SOV rating as opposed to losing to the "stong" teams.

For instance, if we had beat another AFC team and had the same record as the pats, then the tie breaker for HOA for the playoffs would have went to the Ravens based on SOV.

Granted we shouldn't have lost to any of those teams...but...chit happens!

Thorn
01-15-2012, 08:37 AM
Even bad teams win once in a while. Hell, we lost to Indy.

Daravenator
01-15-2012, 09:18 AM
They worked the Rams. Lost to the Seahawks, Jaguars, Chargers, Titans, and should have lost to the Cardinals.

The Ravens are 6-0 against teams in this year's playoffs. I'll take that stat any day of the week and twice on Sund...er...today!

TheMatrix31
01-15-2012, 09:58 AM
Should have lost for what reason? Because we trailed at halftime? By that logic, how many games should the Texans "have lost" this year?

When it comes to making the playoffs and seeding, I would rather lose to weaker teams. Losing to weaker teams improves your SOV rating as opposed to losing to the "stong" teams.

For instance, if we had beat another AFC team and had the same record as the pats, then the tie breaker for HOA for the playoffs would have went to the Ravens based on SOV.

Granted we shouldn't have lost to any of those teams...but...chit happens!

They were getting destroyed. Game wasn't even close. And either way, to even be in a struggle like that with the Cardinals (before they went on their late season run) is an embarrassment.

How many games were the Texans losing at halftime? Down in four, tied in another. Down by 3 (Baltimore), 3 (Week 17 Titans), 13 (Bengals), and 21 (Carolina).

No, games aren't won at halftime, but let's not be delusional and act like the Ravens weren't completely getting demolished by the Cardinals.

**** happens, yes.

NastyNate
01-15-2012, 11:12 AM
They worked the Rams. Lost to the Seahawks, Jaguars, Chargers, Titans, and should have lost to the Cardinals.

I can't agree with that at all. A few plays will always be contested, but at the end of the day a L is an L. Hell look at our season last year, we got away with a few lucky wins, but they're still wins and always will count as such.

Baltimore is a pretty damned good team, and so are we. The im-measureables will have the final say today though I imagine.

TheMatrix31
01-15-2012, 11:19 AM
I can't agree with that at all. A few plays will always be contested, but at the end of the day a L is an L. Hell look at our season last year, we got away with a few lucky wins, but they're still wins and always will count as such.

Baltimore is a pretty damned good team, and so are we. The im-measureables will have the final say today though I imagine.

We lost way more games that could be considered lucky for the other team than we won and can be considered lucky for ours.

I don't care about what ended up being W/L in this discussion. The point is that Baltimore looked way, WAY too vulnerable against WAY too many teams that they should have ****ing destroyed.

Simple as that.

Daravenator
01-15-2012, 03:28 PM
how about i bet you? if You win i will buy a Ravens HAT and wear it for (2- WEEKS)and i will post a pic on this site..i also will wear it around my Texans people to show you i`m a good sport... and will post on the Ravens site you would like...Same to you ,we win you buy our hat wear it 2- weeks?:kubepalm:

I have no clue where I will find a Texans hat other than the Net, but I'm game! Gotta be one somewhere in the area!

Hey, a bet is a bet. But I will "renege" on it and let you slide on the hat. The Texans played a helluva game.

Playoffs
01-15-2012, 03:34 PM
Home field sweep unlikely this weekend.

Green Bay/Baltimore.Loaded up on the Giants!

Playoffs
01-15-2012, 06:29 PM
Loaded up on the Giants!
http://www.hotdogprofits.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/winner-winner-chicken-dinner.png