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View Full Version : 2014 NFL Strength of Schedule: The Texans will.........


CloakNNNdagger
02-12-2014, 02:03 PM
........theoretically play more of the dregs of the league than any other team besides the Jags.
Below are 2014 strength of schedule figures, based on opponents' winning percentage in 2013. Click through links atop the chart to rank home and road schedule difficulty or to sort figures by division. (http://espn.go.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/115715/2014-nfl-strength-of-schedule)


2014 Strength of Schedule: Overall Overall | Division | Home | Road

Rank / Team / Opponent Win Pct.

1 Oakland Raiders .578
2 Denver Broncos .570
3 St. Louis Rams .564
4 San Diego Chargers .563
4 San Francisco 49ers .563
6 Seattle Seahawks .561
7 Kansas City Chiefs .559
8 Arizona Cardinals .547
9 New York Jets .520
10 New England Patriots .516
11 Atlanta Falcons .512
12 Miami Dolphins .508
13 Green Bay Packers .504
14 Buffalo Bills .500
15 Chicago Bears .496
16 Detroit Lions .492
17 Washington Redskins .490
18 Dallas Cowboys .488
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers .484
20 Philadelphia Eagles .479
21 Minnesota Vikings .477
22 Carolina Panthers .473
23 Cincinnati Bengals .469
23 New Orleans Saints .469
23 Pittsburgh Steelers .469
26 Cleveland Browns .465
26 New York Giants .465
28 Baltimore Ravens .461
29 Jacksonville Jaguars .453
30 Houston Texans .441
31 Tennessee Titans .438
32 Indianapolis Colts .430

Playoffs
02-12-2014, 02:20 PM
Bottom 4... welcome to the AFC South.

Da Raiders...

http://www.newmediaandmarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/screwed.jpeg (http://www.newmediaandmarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/screwed.jpeg)

DX-TEX
02-12-2014, 02:31 PM
Funny the Colts have the "easiest" schedule cause they play us, the Jags and the Tacks a combined 6 times.

Save us Romeo!

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bdt0QgVCIAATpZM.jpg

Norg
02-12-2014, 02:49 PM
nothing is easy when u get swept by the jags

Blown out by the rams


Beaten by first time starter MC LOVIN


Have ryan fitzzppatttriicckkkkk Wipp u but I doubt that was the first time

infantrycak
02-12-2014, 03:07 PM
........theoretically play more of the dregs of the league than any other team besides the Jags.

Your article doesn't match your conclusion. We are one of the dregs on this basis. Indy is the beneficiary more than us as reflected in their easiest schedule.

b0ng
02-12-2014, 03:39 PM
Your article doesn't match your conclusion. We are one of the dregs on this basis. Indy is the beneficiary more than us as reflected in their easiest schedule.

SOS for the upcoming 2013 NFL season posted in Feb last year (Almost a year to the date)

Carolina Panthers .543 138-116-2
Detroit Lions .539 138-118-0
New Orleans Saints .539 137-117-2
St. Louis Rams .539 137-117-2
Baltimore Ravens .535 137-119-0
Green Bay Packers .533 136-119-1
Arizona Cardinals .520 131-121-4
Miami Dolphins .520 133-123-0
San Francisco 49ers .520 132-122-2
Minnesota Vikings .516 132-124-0
Seattle Seahawks .516 130-122-4
Cincinnati Bengals .508 130-126-0
Jacksonville Jaguars .508 129-125-2
New England Patriots .508 130-126-0
Atlanta Falcons .504 128-126-2
Chicago Bears .502 128-127-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers .500 127-127-2
Washington Redskins .498 127-128-1
New York Jets .496 127-129-0
Philadelphia Eagles .496 127-129-0
Cleveland Browns .492 126-130-0
Pittsburgh Steelers .492 126-130-0
Tennessee Titans .488 124-130-2
New York Giants .480 123-133-0
Dallas Cowboys .480 121-134-1
Buffalo Bills .473 121-135-0
Houston Texans .473 120-134-2
Kansas City Chiefs .473 121-135-0
Oakland Raiders .469 120-136-0
Indianapolis Colts .461 117-137-2
San Diego Chargers .457 117-139-0
Denver Broncos .430 110-146-0

actual season ending strength of schedule:


1. Chiefs - .445
2. Packers - .453
3. Eagles - .453
4. Lions - .457
5. Bears - .465
6. Steelers - .469
7. Broncos - .469
8. Patriots - .473
9. Bengals - .480
10. Cowboys - .484
11. Ravens - .484
12. Colts - .484
13. Jets - .488
14. Seahawks .490
15. 49'ers - .494
16. Panthers - .494
17. Chargers - .496
18. Titans - .504
19. Jaguars - .504
20. Vikings - .512
21. Saints - .516
22. Browns - .516
23. Redskins - .516
24. Bills - .520
25. Giants - .520
26. Dolphins - .523
27. Raiders - .523
28. Cardinals - .531
29. Rams - .551
30. Falcons - .553
31. Texans - .559
32. Bucs - .574

pre-season SOS is meaningless as december mock drafts.

kiwitexansfan
02-12-2014, 03:46 PM
Playoffs baby!!

:koolaid:

BattleBull
02-12-2014, 04:24 PM
nothing is easy when u get swept by the jags

Blown out by the rams


Beaten by first time starter MC LOVIN


Have ryan fitzzppatttriicckkkkk Wipp u but I doubt that was the first time

The Rams are a very good football team. 7-9 in that division is nothing to slouch at, especially with that monster of a defense they're building.

TheIronDuke
02-12-2014, 04:28 PM
The Rams are a very good football team. 7-9 in that division is nothing to slouch at, especially with that monster of a defense they're building.

I see you're new here. First off, welcome. Second, you can put Norg on ignore because he has never once added a thought that's anywhere near either sane or intelligent his entire time on this MB. In fact, you've already contributed more in your one post than he ever has.

CloakNNNdagger
02-12-2014, 05:04 PM
Your article doesn't match your conclusion. We are one of the dregs on this basis. Indy is the beneficiary more than us as reflected in their easiest schedule.

I've pretty much got to give that to you.........I should have chosen a different conclusion. But we also really need to know what the actual % of wins per individual opponent is (and who they played) in order to get a better idea of what these numbers mean. And, of course, I realize that all of this changes by the time the first regular season game is played. I just thought that this piece would be something that numbers guys could have fun with, especially during this "slow" news period.:texflag:

thunderkyss
02-12-2014, 07:18 PM
Playoffs baby!!

:koolaid:

We should be thinking that way. Regardless what you think of S.O.S. we're playing the Jags, the Titans, the Raiders, the Dolphins, Bills, Eagles, Redskins, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, & Steelers. Those teams count for 13 teams on our schedule. 80%

I know they're saying, "We're playing the Texans... win!!" but that's not the point.

We've got an opportunity to win a lot of games. We don't have to be the best team in the league to do it either, just better than the worst teams in the league.

The Steelers, Giants, Cowboys/Eagles might make a big jump & turns out to be a lot better than they were in 2013, but we shouldn't just take it for granted that we're going to lose 9 games or more.

We've got holes, we're not a very good team. But many of the teams we play in 2014 have holes, & aren't very good teams either.

Norg
02-13-2014, 02:37 AM
The Rams are a very good football team. 7-9 in that division is nothing to slouch at, especially with that monster of a defense they're building.

I agree the rams are a good team but what do u think about the raiders beating us at home ..??? with MC lovin that one really stings

paycheck71
02-13-2014, 04:37 PM
We should be thinking that way. Regardless what you think of S.O.S. we're playing the Jags, the Titans, the Raiders, the Dolphins, Bills, Eagles, Redskins, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, & Steelers. Those teams count for 13 teams on our schedule. 80%

I know they're saying, "We're playing the Texans... win!!" but that's not the point.

We've got an opportunity to win a lot of games. We don't have to be the best team in the league to do it either, just better than the worst teams in the league.

The Steelers, Giants, Cowboys/Eagles might make a big jump & turns out to be a lot better than they were in 2013, but we shouldn't just take it for granted that we're going to lose 9 games or more.

We've got holes, we're not a very good team. But many of the teams we play in 2014 have holes, & aren't very good teams either.

The Cowboys and the Steelers have MAJOR cap issues this offseason. While the Steelers are $11MM over the cap, they at least have enough players they can cut or restructure to get to a manageable cap situation. Still, it's not conducive to getting better. The Cowboys are in deep doo doo since even max restructuring Romo and Lee won't get them out of the woods. They'll have to cut several players (and there aren't many that would save them any cap space by being cut) and replace them with street minimum salary FA's. Unless they ace the draft and hit a couple of jack pots, I don't know how they can get better.

The eye ball test tells me that the schedule is beatable, but I'm really struggling with the idea that the Texans can be a winning team next season with a total cluster f at QB.

HouTx11
02-14-2014, 04:49 AM
I agree the rams are a good team but what do u think about the raiders beating us at home ..??? with MC lovin that one really stings

To me it doesn't sting half as bad as the previous Raiders/Texans matchup at Reliant which was in the pre-Schaub lisfranc injury era.

We lost to Jason Campbell!!:kubepalm:

TheMatrix31
02-14-2014, 06:45 PM
These things end up not mattering since there are always surprises and whatnot, but since I believe last year was more a total fluke rather than reality, it's nice to see that we have an "easy" schedule on paper.

Hell, if we bounce back to what we were in 2012, we'll be the team throwing this "strength of schedule" stuff off the rails.

Thorn
02-14-2014, 07:07 PM
We're gonna go 16-0 and win the next seven super bowls in a roll.

Now pardon me while I pour myself another Jack Daniels and roll another joint.

I'm a fan, what the **** am I supposed to hope for? LOL

axman40
02-14-2014, 07:48 PM
We're gonna go 16-0 and win the next seven super bowls in a roll.

Now pardon me while I pour myself another Jack Daniels and roll another joint.

I'm a fan, what the **** am I supposed to hope for? LOL
That you get pulled off the couch to kick the winning FG in the Super Bowl.
George Blanda has nothing on Thorn!
:beerfunnel:

Speedy
02-15-2014, 01:38 AM
All of this strength of schedule stuff doesn't mean a damn thing. Play the games. Make fewer mistakes in those games than the Texans did last season, force a few more turnovers than fewest in NFL history and get that turnover ratio from a -20 to something with a + in front of it, and you'll win games no matter who is on the schedule.

thunderkyss
02-15-2014, 09:21 AM
All of this strength of schedule stuff doesn't mean a damn thing. Play the games. Make fewer mistakes in those games than the Texans did last season, force a few more turnovers than fewest in NFL history and get that turnover ratio from a -20 to something with a + in front of it, and you'll win games no matter who is on the schedule.

Well get ready for the, "There are no quality wins." argument. The opportunities are too far & between.

Nawzer
02-15-2014, 07:42 PM
We are THE dregs of the league based on last year.

ObsiWan
02-15-2014, 09:46 PM
"You are what your record says you are."
- Bill Parcells

thunderkyss
03-11-2014, 08:46 AM
I didn't want to derail bah007's excellent MockDraft thread with silly talk about expectations of the 2014 Texans. But there were a couple of posts in that thread that were pretty much:
Bingo. Nobody else wants to say this out loud but I'm with you. This isn't a playoff team next year, in my estimation. Use our high draft picks in a loaded draft to build a long term foundation instead of trying to make this a quick fix with only a short term plan.

Which brings us back to strength of schedule.

I don't believe we are a "play-off" team. However, I do believe we have a chance to make the play-offs. Strength of schedule aside, the teams we're going to be facing have been pretty bad in recent years. We don't need a team full of All-Pros to beat them.

Home
Jacksonville, Tennessee, Cincinnati, Buffalo, Philly, WashingtonAway
Jacksonville, Tennessee, Cleveland, Oakland, Dallas, New York

.

That's 12 winnable games... yeah, they're going to try to get better this off-season, so are we. We don't have to be better than the Patriots in 2014, just better than these 12.

On top of that, if Baltimore & Pittsburgh continue their slide, that makes 14 winnable games.

& I know it's foolish for me to think we can beat the mighty Colts with the future HOF QB Andrew Luck under center.... but those should be winnable as well.

Seven of the eight 1st/2nd round picks & high dollar FAs were on this team when they were the #2 defense in the league.

I know we don't know who our starting QB is going to be & that's a big piece of the puzzle of whether or not we're going to be able to win 9 of the 12 games in the "historically sorry" list. So I'm not saying we're going to win 12 games or anything like that.

I'm just saying the task before us is not as insurmountable as you'd think for a 2-14 football team. We may not be a play-off team in 2014, but we still have a chance to make the play-offs.

The Pencil Neck
03-11-2014, 11:15 AM
At this point, after the season we had and with the questions about who is going to be on and off our team and what our offense and defense is going to look like, I don't believe any game looks like a winnable game.

Not even the ones against the Jaguars.

281
03-11-2014, 11:37 AM
Talking about SOS in March is pointless.

thunderkyss
03-11-2014, 12:57 PM
At this point, after the season we had and with the questions about who is going to be on and off our team and what our offense and defense is going to look like, I don't believe any game looks like a winnable game.

Not even the ones against the Jaguars.

If you're one of the guys who did not want O'Brien, or can't understand why Rick Smith is still here, or both... I understand.

imo, we'll know at the end of the season if we're on the right track or not. If we've got a losing record against the teams on our schedule, we picked the wrong dudes.

Bad teams help the other team win... if we're helping these bad teams win, we've got the wrong coach, front-office, & owner.

The Pencil Neck
03-11-2014, 03:54 PM
If you're one of the guys who did not want O'Brien, or can't understand why Rick Smith is still here, or both... I understand.

imo, we'll know at the end of the season if we're on the right track or not. If we've got a losing record against the teams on our schedule, we picked the wrong dudes.

Bad teams help the other team win... if we're helping these bad teams win, we've got the wrong coach, front-office, & owner.

I wanted O'Brien and I'm not a Rick Smith hater.

I'm just saying that at this point, I'm not ready to declare any game winnable. I don't even know who are on any of these teams, yet.

infantrycak
03-11-2014, 03:59 PM
I wanted O'Brien and I'm not a Rick Smith hater.

I'm just saying that at this point, I'm not ready to declare any game winnable. I don't even know who are on any of these teams, yet.

They are all winnable every year. Too early to count them as probable wins.

The Pencil Neck
03-11-2014, 04:00 PM
They are all winnable every year. Too early to count them as probable wins.

After last year, I'm starting at 0 and working my way up instead of starting at 16 and working my way down.

:)

infantrycak
03-11-2014, 04:06 PM
After last year, I'm starting at 0 and working my way up instead of starting at 16 and working my way down.

:)

After watching the 2002 Texans handily beat the 10-5-1 Steelers with 47 yds of offense...they're all winnable.

Even last year the Texans were not getting their butts beat from start to finish. They were a short curly hair away from beating the SB champions.

_King_
03-11-2014, 04:09 PM
I think this team is in a good position. I think we have more talent top to bottom than the Colts. I think what we need is for guys to be healthy.

We just need a QB and some good coaching. I think if we get that (IF) we'll be in contention for the play-offs and beyond next year easily.

Showtime100
03-11-2014, 06:09 PM
At this point, after the season we had and with the questions about who is going to be on and off our team and what our offense and defense is going to look like, I don't believe any game looks like a winnable game.

Not even the ones against the Jaguars.

Seconded. Sure, they're all winnable, I agree with that too. But when I look at what the Texans are right here, right now, I'm good to A) snap a 14-game losing streak and A) get a winning streak going .....etc...etc. I begin with zero and go from there.

thunderkyss
03-11-2014, 09:17 PM
Seconded. Sure, they're all winnable, I agree with that too. But when I look at what the Texans are right here, right now, I'm good to A) snap a 14-game losing streak and A) get a winning streak going .....etc...etc. I begin with zero and go from there.

I think we're being too Texans "centric" here.

Buffalo... are we saying they are without holes? I have no idea who they're going to put on the field, but it's Buffalo.

Oakland...

Tennessee.... as bad as we were last year, we still managed to beat them once.

Jacksonville, they swept us... but without Gabbert... yeah, they're pretty scary.

But you get my point. We don't play New England. We don't play Denver. We don't play Green Bay.

I'm not saying we should pencil in 12 wins & I don't have a problem with starting at 0. I don't think for a second we're going to field a play off team in 2014... but considering the teams we're playing, I'm not taking a play off berth off the table.

Doesn't make us a play off team, just taking advantage of a situation.

texanhead08
03-11-2014, 10:25 PM
It means nothing you don't know how good or bad teams are going to be in March. If you don't know your record accounts for 2 or 3 games.